有关政党内部升迁的研究-getting ahead in the communist party

和Guang Lei老师聊天,说起我的研究,他建议我可以读一读Victor Shih的文章

VICTOR SHIH, CHRISTOPHER ADOLPH and MINGXING LIU (2012).

Getting Ahead in the Communist Party: Explaining the Advancement of Central Committee Members in China.

American Political Science Review, 106, pp 166-187. doi:10.1017/S0003055411000566.

http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0003055411000566

用的是Bayesian method. 结论颇有意思!

We find no evidence that strong growth performance was rewarded with higher party ranks at any of the post-reform party congresses.

Instead, factional ties with various top leaders, educational qualifications, and provincial revenue collection played substantial roles in elite ranking,

Suggesting that the promotion system served the immediate needs of the regime and leaders, rather than encompassing goals such as economic growth.

————这个结果确实让人觉得很pressimistic!

去年的AJPS也有一篇有关日本内阁职位分布的研究

Portfolio Allocation as Leadership Strategy: Intraparty Bargaining in Japan

  1. Yoshikuni Ono

DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-5907.2012.00586.x

American Journal of Political Science

Volume 56, Issue 3, pages 553–567, July 2012   这篇文章倒是给我很多参考和启发。

—-读文献总是很有意思。

 

 

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